By Natalie Dolce via Globe St
Hot markets are still going to be hot in 2016, but rents won’t rise as quickly as they have been, says Sudell.
Zillow is forecasting a decrease in the rate of rental appreciation amid a rental affordability crisis that has renters in some markets spending almost half of their income on rent. Some of the fastest growing metros had double-digit annual rental appreciation at the end of 2015.
Zillow expects rental appreciation to slow down most significantly in Nashville and San Francisco, as well as Portland and Denver. Rents in San Francisco saw 12.5% appreciation in 2015. Zillow forecasts rent in San Francisco will grow half as fast in 2016–5.9%.
Even with the slowdown, rents will remain unaffordable in many of the major markets across the US, especially on the West Coast. Renters in San Francisco and Los Angeles can expect to spend 40% of their income on a rental payment.
“Hot markets are still going to be hot in 2016, but rents won’t rise as quickly as they have been,” says Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. “The slowdown in rental appreciation will provide some relief for renters who’ve been seeing their rents rise dramatically every single year for the past few years. However, the situation remains tough on the ground: rents are still rising and renters are struggling to keep up.”
The slowdown in rental appreciation indicates that supply of new multifamily homes is catching up to demand. Substantial new housing supply is becoming available in Atlanta, Denver, Portland, Seattle, and other markets.